Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 1. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.
Form. Sheffield Wednesday have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. In this competition Sheffield Wednesday have gone W. Sunderland U21 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sheffield Wednesday average 13.0 shots (5.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Sunderland U21 score 2.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sheffield Wednesday or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Sheffield Wednesday Over 0.5 Goals (Sheffield Wednesday's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Sunderland U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).