UGAUGA

14:00Mon 5 Oct

COD

Uganda vs Congo DR

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class A

UGAv

Double Chance: Draw or Congo DR

Uganda v Congo DR

International - Int… · 14:00

1.24odds

81%book

+3edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Uganda have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. Congo DR have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. Uganda score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Uganda average 10.4 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Congo DR score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Congo DR average 10.7 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

The case against. Uganda's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. Congo DR to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Congo DR the likelier winners; Congo DR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Congo DR. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Congo DR at 1.24, 78% on the records (Congo DR unbeaten in 5 of 7 away; Uganda failed to win 3 of 6 at home). The safer one: Uganda Under 1.5 Goals at 1.23 (80%). Backup: Uganda Under 1.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Uganda 0-1 Congo DR (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Congo DR or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

UGA 6 of 7 (86%) · COD 5 of 6 (83%)90.8%

Congo DR: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · Uganda: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 91% · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance: Draw or Congo DRMAININ CODES

1.24

UGA 5 of 7 (71%) · COD 3 of 6 (50%)83.5%

Congo DR unbeaten in 5 of 7 away · Uganda failed to win 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

Congo DR or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.19

UGA 4 of 5 (80%) · COD 6 of 7 (86%)82.5%

Congo DR scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 away · Uganda trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

Congo DR (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

UGA 4 of 6 (67%) · COD 2 of 5 (40%)76.6%

Congo DR won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Uganda lost 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 4, refunded 4, lost 5

Congo DR or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

UGA 2 of 6 (33%) · COD 5 of 7 (71%)67.6%

Uganda: the bet landed in 2 of 6 at home · Congo DR: the bet landed in 5 of 7 away · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against

Congo DR 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.50

UGA 2 of 5 (40%) · COD 4 of 7 (57%)56.7%

Congo DR scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 7 away · Uganda trailed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

UGA 4 of 6 (67%) · COD 7 of 7 (100%)87.2%

Uganda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Congo DR: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 away · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.63

UGA 4 of 6 (67%) · COD 4 of 7 (57%)72.7%

Uganda: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Congo DR: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 away · both last 10: 56% · each game weighed by who it was against

UGANDA GOALS

Uganda Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES

1.23

UGA 4 of 6 (67%) · COD 6 of 7 (86%)85.4%

Uganda scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · Congo DR conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against

CONGO DR GOALS

Congo DR Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.25

UGA 5 of 7 (71%) · COD 3 of 6 (50%)67.8%

Congo DR scored in 5 of 7 away · Uganda conceded in 3 of 6 at home · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.8%

Uganda goals →

Congo DR goals ↓

0-012%

1-09%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-115%

1-113%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.0%

0-210%

1-28%

2-23%

3-20.9%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-35%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-41%

2-40.5%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.3%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UGANDAWDLDLLWWWL1.40 PPG

CONGO DRWWLWLDDDWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UGANDA HOMExCONGO DR AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.301.10CONCEDED A GAME0.7040%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.80CORNERS A GAME3.401.90CARDS A GAME1.10

TRENDS

Uganda have scored in 90% of their games.

Congo DR have scored in 70% of their games.

Uganda kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Congo DR kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards