ZFZAM

20:30Sun 4 Oct

YAR

Zamora FC Barinas II vs Yaracuyanos FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.

Form. Zamora FC Barinas II have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Yaracuyanos FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.

The numbers. Zamora FC Barinas II score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Zamora FC Barinas II average 4.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Yaracuyanos FC score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Yaracuyanos FC average 5.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Zamora FC Barinas II are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Yaracuyanos FC.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Zamora FC Barinas II or Both Teams Score (no result call); Yaracuyanos FC Over 0.5 Goals (Yaracuyanos FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Zamora FC Barinas II Over 0.5 Goals (Zamora FC Barinas II's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Zamora FC Barinas II 1-1 Yaracuyanos FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · YAR 7 of 8 (88%)92.1%

Zamora FC Barinas II: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Yaracuyanos FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · YAR 7 of 8 (88%)90.4%

Zamora FC Barinas II: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Yaracuyanos FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Yaracuyanos FC's level · Yaracuyanos FC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level

Left off the list: Zamora FC Barinas II or Both Teams Score (no result call); Yaracuyanos FC Over 0.5 Goals (Yaracuyanos FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Zamora FC Barinas II Over 0.5 Goals (Zamora FC Barinas II's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14%

Zamora FC Barinas II goals →

Yaracuyanos FC goals ↓

0-012%

1-010%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-28%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ZAMORA FC BARINAS IILWWLWWLLLW1.50 PPG

YARACUYANOS FCWWLLLLWDWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ZAMORA FC BARINAS II HOMExYARACUYANOS FC AWAY

1.61SCORED A GAME1.321.43CONCEDED A GAME0.9640%BOTH SCORED40%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.84CORNERS A GAME5.382.88CARDS A GAME2.88

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.50+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

ZAMORA FC BARINAS II OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

YARACUYANOS FC OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ZAMORA FC BARINAS IIxYARACUYANOS FC

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME0.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE0%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Zamora FC Barinas II have scored in 70% of their games.

Yaracuyanos FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Zamora FC Barinas II kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Yaracuyanos FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards