Arnett Gardens FC vs Portmore United
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Arnett Gardens FC are 10th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Portmore United, level on points with Molynes United. A win would take them above Portmore United. Portmore United are 9th on 3 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Mount Pleasant Academy, level on points with Arnett Gardens. A win would take them above Mount Pleasant Academy.
Form. Arnett Gardens FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Portmore United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Portmore United have gone W L W D W D.
The numbers. Arnett Gardens FC score 2.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Arnett Gardens FC average 12.0 shots (6.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Portmore United score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Portmore United average 12.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Arnett Gardens FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Arnett Gardens FC won one and Portmore United won three. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Arnett Gardens FC 2-1 Portmore United.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Arnett Gardens FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Portmore United. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 72% on the records (Arnett Gardens FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Portmore United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Portmore United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Arnett Gardens FC 1-1 Portmore United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).