Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League League B - 3 fixture. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It's at Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain.
Form. Grenada have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Bonaire have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Grenada score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. They average 8.7 shots (4.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Bonaire score 0.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. They average 7.3 shots (3.7 on target), 2.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 40% of ball.
Head to head. The last time they met was on 3 Oct 2026, when Grenada won 3-2. Grenada had 18 shots to 11, held 56% of the ball and received one yellow card.
The case against. Bonaire's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The read. Grenada to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Grenada the likelier winners; Grenada are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Grenada.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Grenada 2-0 Bonaire (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).