Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar

Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Liechtenstein have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Gibraltar have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.

The numbers. Liechtenstein score 0.2 and concede 3.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and eight games without a goal. Liechtenstein average 3.2 shots (0.7 on target), 0.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 26% of the ball. Gibraltar score 0.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gibraltar average 4.4 shots (1.1 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 36% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Liechtenstein have won one, drawn three and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, three were drawn and Gibraltar won one. The last time they met, on 13 Oct 2024, it finished Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar: Liechtenstein had 4 shots to 5, 60% of the ball, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar (15% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Gibraltar the favourite), a tight game.