Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija.
What's at stake. Ogre United are 10th on 18 points after 31 games, 6 points behind Tukums. BFC Daugavpils are 5th on 39 points after 31 games, 4 points behind FK Liepaja, 1 point clear of Super Nova. Ogre United have nothing left to play for. BFC Daugavpils have nothing left to play for.
Form. Ogre United have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition Ogre United have gone W L D L L L. BFC Daugavpils have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. In this competition BFC Daugavpils have gone D L D L D W.
The numbers. Ogre United score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ogre United average 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. BFC Daugavpils score 0.8 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. BFC Daugavpils average 3.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. BFC Daugavpils have won all of the last four meetings. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 14 Aug 2026, it finished Ogre United 1-3 BFC Daugavpils.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Ogre United's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. BFC Daugavpils to win. An open game. BFC Daugavpils are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BFC Daugavpils; the meetings favour BFC Daugavpils. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or BFC Daugavpils at 1.24, 61% on the records (BFC Daugavpils unbeaten in 4 of 6 away; Ogre United failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: BFC Daugavpils Over 0.5 goals (BFC Daugavpils's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Ogre United Over 0.5 goals (BFC Daugavpils's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ogre United 1-2 BFC Daugavpils (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
BFC Daugavpils win or both teams scorePAGE ONLY
1.13
OGR 2 of 6 (33%) · BFC 4 of 5 (80%)76.1%
BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level
BFC Daugavpils or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.42
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 2 of 6 (33%)72.8%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · rule 2: the meetings back BFC Daugavpils: in the last 4 meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 4; in the last 4, BFC Daugavpils won 4
Double Chance: Draw or BFC DaugavpilsMAINPAGE ONLY
1.24
OGR 4 of 6 (67%) · BFC 4 of 5 (80%)70.6%
BFC Daugavpils unbeaten in 4 of 6 away · Ogre United failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level
BFC Daugavpils or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
OGR 3 of 5 (60%) · BFC 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
BFC Daugavpils scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Ogre United trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
BFC Daugavpils (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
OGR 4 of 7 (57%) · BFC 6 of 8 (75%)59.5%
BFC Daugavpils won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Ogre United lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 4 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 3
BFC Daugavpils or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
OGR 1 of 6 (17%) · BFC 4 of 5 (80%)58.9%
BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 1 of 6 away · Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level
BFC Daugavpils or draw and over 2.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.95
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 1 of 6 (17%)54.7%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 1 of 6 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · rule 2: the meetings back BFC Daugavpils: in the last 4 meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 4; in the last 4, BFC Daugavpils won 4
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 2 of 6 (33%)81%
Ogre United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
OGR 2 of 5 (40%) · BFC 1 of 6 (17%)53.2%
Ogre United: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: both scored in 1 of 6 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 4 · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
OGRE UNITED GOALS
Ogre United Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
OGR 3 of 5 (60%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)57.3%
Ogre United scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.14
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)91.4%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.24
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)87.9%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 3 of 6 (50%)71.4%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
OGR 4 of 5 (80%) · BFC 6 of 6 (100%)69%
Ogre United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · BFC Daugavpils: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 1 of 4 · on half-time scores · Ogre United: only games against sides at BFC Daugavpils's level · BFC Daugavpils: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
Left off the list: BFC Daugavpils Over 0.5 goals (BFC Daugavpils's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Ogre United Over 0.5 goals (BFC Daugavpils's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.8%
Ogre United goals →
BFC Daugavpils goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
OGRE UNITEDWLDLLLLDLW0.80 PPG
BFC DAUGAVPILSWWLWWDLDLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
OGRE UNITED HOMExBFC DAUGAVPILS AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.302.20CONCEDED A GAME0.7010%CLEAN SHEETS30%32%FAILED TO SCORE32%3.52CORNERS A GAME3.812.10CARDS A GAME1.32
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OGRE UNITED 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.50-1.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.75-6.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES8
BFC Daugavpils: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
68%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
OGRE UNITED OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
BFC DAUGAVPILS OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
OGRE UNITEDxBFC DAUGAVPILS
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.402.20CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
OGRE UNITED 0 · 0%DRAW 0BFC DAUGAVPILS 4 · 100%
3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2026-04-07Ogre United 1 – 2 BFC Daugavpils
2026-05-21Ogre United 1 – 3 BFC Daugavpils
2026-07-19Ogre United 0 – 4 BFC Daugavpils
2026-08-14Ogre United 1 – 3 BFC Daugavpils
TRENDS
Ogre United have scored in 70% of their games.
BFC Daugavpils have scored in 60% of their games.
Ogre United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BFC Daugavpils kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards