Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs VVV Venlo
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam.
What's at stake. Jong Ajax Amsterdam are 18th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Jong PSV U21, level on points with Jong AZ. A win would take them above Jong PSV U21. VVV Venlo are 2nd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with De Graafschap, level on points with Den Bosch. A win would take them above De Graafschap.
Form. Jong Ajax Amsterdam have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. VVV Venlo have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Jong Ajax Amsterdam score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Jong Ajax Amsterdam average 10.4 shots (4.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. VVV Venlo score 2.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. VVV Venlo average 10.9 shots (5.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Jong Ajax Amsterdam have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Jong Ajax Amsterdam won one and VVV Venlo won three. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2026, it finished Jong Ajax Amsterdam 1-0 VVV Venlo: Jong Ajax Amsterdam had 11 shots to 19, 47% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Jong Ajax Amsterdam's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. VVV Venlo to win. Their goals for and against make VVV Venlo the likelier winners; VVV Venlo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VVV Venlo.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); VVV Venlo Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (VVV Venlo are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Jong Ajax Amsterdam 1-2 VVV Venlo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).