EDGE PICKLancaster City Over 0.5 goals · 67.2% · @1.38
Book 72% · Us 67%-5price too short
Backed by
Lancaster City scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Avro FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Avro FC are 4th on 22 points after 9 games, level on points with Guiseley AFC, 1 point clear of Workington. A win would take them above Guiseley AFC. Lancaster City are 12th on 16 points after 11 games, level on points with Gainsborough Trinity, 2 points clear of Hyde United. A win would take them above Gainsborough Trinity.
Form. Avro FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Lancaster City have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Lancaster City have gone W W L L W W.
The numbers. Avro FC score 2.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Avro FC average 15.8 shots (7.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Lancaster City score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lancaster City average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Lancaster City's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Avro FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Avro FC the likelier winners; Avro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Avro FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Avro FC (Draw No Bet) at 1.26, 72% on the records (Avro FC won 7 of 9 (draws left out); Lancaster City lost 4 of 9 (draws left out)). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16 (81%). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Avro FC Over 1.5 goals (Lancaster City's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Avro FC 2-1 Lancaster City (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Avro FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 10 of 10 (100%) · LAN 8 of 10 (80%)90%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Avro FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 9 of 10 (90%) · LAN 8 of 10 (80%)85%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Avro FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 8 of 10 (80%) · LAN 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Avro FC (Draw No Bet)MAININ CODES
1.32
AVR 7 of 9 (78%) · LAN 4 of 9 (44%)71.6%
Avro FC won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Lancaster City lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · won 3, refunded 1, lost 4
Avro FC or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 7 of 10 (70%) · LAN 5 of 10 (50%)60%
Avro FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
Avro FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
AVR 7 of 10 (70%) · LAN 4 of 10 (40%)54.8%
Avro FC won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 10 of 10 (100%) · LAN 10 of 10 (100%)94.5%
Avro FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.16
AVR 9 of 10 (90%) · LAN 8 of 10 (80%)80.6%
Avro FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
AVR 6 of 10 (60%) · LAN 7 of 10 (70%)57.6%
Avro FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
AVR 5 of 10 (50%) · LAN 6 of 10 (60%)57.5%
Avro FC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%
AVRO FC GOALS
Avro FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVR 8 of 10 (80%) · LAN 8 of 10 (80%)84.8%
Avro FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lancaster City conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
LANCASTER CITY GOALS
Lancaster City Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
AVR 8 of 10 (80%) · LAN 7 of 10 (70%)67.2%
Lancaster City scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Avro FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Avro FC Over 1.5 goals (Lancaster City's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Avro FC goals →
Lancaster City goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-09%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01.0%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.6%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AVRO FCWLWWDWWLWW2.20 PPG
LANCASTER CITYWLLDWWLLWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AVRO FC HOMExLANCASTER CITY AWAY
2.80SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS20%11%FAILED TO SCORE18%6.20CORNERS A GAME3.001.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.44POINTS A GAME1.45+1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.55–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES11
Avro FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
AVRO FC 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
79%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 85/90
AVRO FC OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
LANCASTER CITY OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AVRO FCxLANCASTER CITY
5GAMES53.20SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.605.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Avro FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Lancaster City have scored in 70% of their games.
Avro FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Lancaster City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards