Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ilkeston Town FC are 21st on 7 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Stockton Town, 2 points clear of United of Manchester. A win would take them above Stockton Town. Guiseley FC are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Workington, level on points with Rylands. A win would take them above Workington.
Form. Ilkeston Town FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Ilkeston Town FC have gone L L L L L D. Guiseley FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition Guiseley FC have gone L W W L W W.
The numbers. Ilkeston Town FC score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Ilkeston Town FC average 2.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Guiseley FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Guiseley FC average 6.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Ilkeston Town FC have won three, drawn two and lost one. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Ilkeston Town FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Ilkeston Town FC 1-0 Guiseley FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Guiseley FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Ilkeston Town FC: in the last six meetings, Ilkeston Town FC won three, Guiseley FC won one and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (Ilkeston Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Guiseley FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Ilkeston Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Guiseley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Ilkeston Town FC or Guiseley FC (no result call). Predicted score: Ilkeston Town FC 1-2 Guiseley FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).