Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne.
What's at stake. Curzon Ashton FC are 9th on 16 points after 9 games, level on points with Bury, level on points with Lancaster City. A win would take them above Bury. Redcar Athletic FC are 1st on 25 points after 11 games, 1 point clear of Cleethorpes Town.
Form. Curzon Ashton FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Redcar Athletic FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Redcar Athletic FC have gone W D W W W D.
The numbers. Curzon Ashton FC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Curzon Ashton FC average 10.2 shots (4.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Redcar Athletic FC score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Redcar Athletic FC average 3.5 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Curzon Ashton FC the likelier winners, but Redcar Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Redcar Athletic FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Curzon Ashton FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Redcar Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Redcar Athletic FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Curzon Ashton FC Under 1.5 goals (Curzon Ashton FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Double Chance: Draw or Redcar Athletic FC (no result call). Predicted score: Curzon Ashton FC 2-1 Redcar Athletic FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).