Honduras vs Jamaica
Match details. Honduras host Jamaica in the CONCACAF Nations League, League A - 2. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct at 03:00 Lagos time. The match will be played at Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino in Tegucigalpa.
Form. Honduras have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game. Their last five matches read L W L D L. Jamaica have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, averaging 1.8 points a game. Their recent form is W L W D W.
The numbers. Honduras score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. They average 10.7 shots with 4.1 on target, 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards. Jamaica score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Jamaica average 11.8 shots with 4.0 on target, 3.0 corners and 2.1 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree on this one. The odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough for me to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 83% on the records (Honduras: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; Jamaica: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Honduras or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Honduras 1-0 Jamaica (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).