Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League League A - 2 clash. It kicks off on Tue 6 Oct at 01:00 Lagos time. The game is at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in Guatemala City.
Form. Guatemala have three wins, three draws and four defeats in their last ten, about 1.2 points a game. Their recent five run D, W, L, W, L. Suriname sit a bit better with four wins, four draws and two losses in ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five read D, W, W, L, L.
The numbers. Guatemala average 1.7 goals for and 1.2 against over ten games, three clean sheets and two goalless outings. They also manage about 13.6 shots, 4.8 on target, 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, holding 44% of possession. Suriname have 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded in their last five away, no clean sheets. Their away numbers show 10.7 shots, 4.6 on target, 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game with 55% possession.
Head to head. In the last three clashes Guatemala have one win and two draws, no defeats. One meeting saw over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in two games. The most recent on 2 Oct 2026 finished 0-0, with Guatemala only two shots to Suriname's 13, 38% of the ball and six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Their goals for and against suggest a tight game. Overall they have a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals. Yet two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Suriname still only have a 32% chance to win. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Also two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Guatemala or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Guatemala the likelier winners and their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Guatemala 2-1 Suriname (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).