San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego. The referee is Serhiy Boiko.
What's at stake. San Diego FC are 12th on 32 points after 28 games, level on points with Real Salt Lake, 1 point clear of Austin. A win would take them above Real Salt Lake. Houston Dynamo are 5th on 45 points after 28 games, 1 point behind San Jose Earthquakes, 3 points clear of Los Angeles FC. A win would take them above San Jose Earthquakes. San Diego FC have nothing left to play for, while Houston Dynamo need the win.
Team news. San Diego FC are without O. Soe (lower-body injury), O. Soe (lower-body injury). Houston Dynamo are without Felipe Andrade (injury), J. Maurer (concussion), A. Resch (lower-body injury), Felipe Andrade (injury), J. Maurer (concussion), A. Resch (lower-body injury).
Form. San Diego FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. In this competition San Diego FC have gone L D D L L L. Houston Dynamo have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Houston Dynamo have gone D L D L W D.
The numbers. San Diego FC score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. San Diego FC average 11.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Houston Dynamo score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Houston Dynamo average 14.0 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings San Diego FC have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2026, it finished San Diego FC 0-1 Houston Dynamo: San Diego FC had 9 shots to 11, 71% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make San Diego FC the likelier winners, but Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. San Diego FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Houston Dynamo or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make San Diego FC the likelier winners; Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (San Diego FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Houston Dynamo: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 away). Backup: San Diego FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: San Diego FC 1-2 Houston Dynamo (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).