Saint Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Citypark, Saint Louis. The referee is Filip Dujic.
What's at stake. Saint Louis City SC are 2nd on 50 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Vancouver Whitecaps, 3 points clear of FC Dallas. A win would take them above Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps FC are 1st on 51 points after 28 games, 1 point clear of St. Louis City.
Team news. Saint Louis City SC are without Celio Pompeu (knee injury), K. Hiebert (hip injury), Celio Pompeu (knee injury), K. Hiebert (hip injury). Vancouver Whitecaps FC are without S. Adekugbe (muscle injury), J. Badwal (injury), T. Blackmon (red card), K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (foot injury), B. Halbouni (knee injury), T. Muller (muscle injury). T. Blackmon is their centre-back.
Form. Saint Louis City SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Saint Louis City SC have gone W W W W D W. Vancouver Whitecaps FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. In this competition Vancouver Whitecaps FC have gone D L D W L W.
The numbers. Saint Louis City SC score 3.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Saint Louis City SC average 12.1 shots (6.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Vancouver Whitecaps FC score 2.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Vancouver Whitecaps FC average 16.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Saint Louis City SC have won two, drawn one and lost four. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Saint Louis City SC won one, one was drawn and Vancouver Whitecaps FC won two. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2026, it finished Saint Louis City SC 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Saint Louis City SC had 11 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Vancouver Whitecaps FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Saint Louis City SC to win. A draw is live. An open game. Saint Louis City SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Saint Louis City SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 80% on the records (Saint Louis City SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Vancouver Whitecaps FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Saint Louis City SC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Saint Louis City SC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).