FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco. The referee is Jon Freemon.
What's at stake. FC Dallas are 3rd on 47 points after 28 games, 3 points behind St. Louis City, 1 point clear of San Jose Earthquakes. A win would take them level on points with St. Louis City. Seattle Sounders are 7th on 41 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Los Angeles FC, 4 points clear of Colorado Rapids. A win would take them above Los Angeles FC.
Team news. FC Dallas are without L. Farrington (lower-body injury), A. A. Julio Santos (lower-body injury), Geovane Jesus (knee injury), L. Farrington (lower-body injury), A. A. Julio Santos (lower-body injury), Geovane Jesus (knee injury). Seattle Sounders are without N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury), N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury).
Form. FC Dallas have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition FC Dallas have gone L W D W W W. Seattle Sounders have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Seattle Sounders have gone W W W W D D.
The numbers. FC Dallas score two and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Dallas average 11.6 shots (5.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Seattle Sounders score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Seattle Sounders average 14.9 shots (5.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Dallas have won one, drawn three and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Seattle Sounders won four. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished FC Dallas 1-2 Seattle Sounders: FC Dallas had 10 shots to 9, 42% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Seattle Sounders's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. FC Dallas to win. An open game. The meetings favour Seattle Sounders. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Dallas are a clear winner, no Unders); Seattle Sounders Under 1.5 goals (Seattle Sounders's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Dallas are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Dallas 2-1 Seattle Sounders (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).