Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Soldier Field, Chicago. The referee is Ricardo Fierro.
What's at stake. Chicago Fire are 3rd on 48 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Inter Miami, 2 points clear of New England Revolution. A win would take them above Inter Miami. Philadelphia Union are 6th on 42 points after 28 games, 4 points behind Charlotte, 5 points clear of Orlando City SC.
Team news. Chicago Fire are without D. D'Avilla (red card), A. Franco (knee injury), R. Lod (lower-body injury), A. Mekvabishvili (lower-body injury), S. Rogers (lower-body injury), D. D'Avilla (red card). Philadelphia Union are without A. Anello (groin injury), A. Anello (groin injury).
Form. Chicago Fire have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Chicago Fire have gone W W W L L D. Philadelphia Union have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Philadelphia Union have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. Chicago Fire score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Chicago Fire average 16.4 shots (5.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Philadelphia Union score 3.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Philadelphia Union average 16.5 shots (6.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Chicago Fire have won two, drawn two and lost five. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Chicago Fire won one and Philadelphia Union won three. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Chicago Fire 2-1 Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire had 11 shots to 12, 53% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Philadelphia Union's record still gives them 50% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Chicago Fire or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Both teams' records favour Philadelphia Union; the meetings favour Philadelphia Union. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 79% on the records (Chicago Fire: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Philadelphia Union: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2-1 Philadelphia Union (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).