Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC

Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida. The referee is Lorenzo Hernandez.

What's at stake. Inter Miami CF are 2nd on 49 points after 28 games, 14 points behind Nashville SC, 1 point clear of Chicago Fire. New York City FC are 10th on 33 points after 28 games, 3 points behind FC Cincinnati, 1 point clear of Toronto FC. A win would take them level on points with FC Cincinnati. New York City FC have nothing left to play for.

Team news. Inter Miami CF are without T. Allende (knee injury), Y. Bright (foot injury), M. Silvetti (injury), T. Allende (knee injury), Y. Bright (foot injury), M. Silvetti (injury). New York City FC are without D. Baiera (knee injury), A. Farnos (injury), M. Moralez (knee injury), K. Parks (injury), Talles Magno (muscle injury), K. Trewin (ankle injury).

Form. Inter Miami CF have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. In this competition Inter Miami CF have gone W L D D D D. New York City FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition New York City FC have gone L D L W L D.

The numbers. Inter Miami CF score three and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Inter Miami CF average 14.4 shots (6.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. New York City FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. New York City FC average 10.6 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Inter Miami CF have won three, drawn four and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Inter Miami CF won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Inter Miami CF 3-2 New York City FC: Inter Miami CF had 22 shots to 11, 53% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 38%.

The read. No firm call: Inter Miami CF are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Inter Miami CF the likelier winners; Inter Miami CF are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Inter Miami CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 78% on the records (Inter Miami CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; New York City FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Inter Miami CF Over 1.5 goals (New York City FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); New York City FC Under 1.5 goals (Inter Miami CF's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Inter Miami CF 2-1 New York City FC (10% chance).