CMCFM

00:30Thu 15 Oct

ATL

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Saputo Stadium, Montreal. The referee is Ricardo Montero Araya.

What's at stake. CF Montreal are 15th on 24 points after 28 games, 3 points behind Atlanta United FC. A win would take them level on points with Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC are 14th on 27 points after 28 games, 2 points behind Columbus Crew, 3 points clear of CF Montreal. A win would take them above Columbus Crew. CF Montreal have nothing left to play for. Atlanta United FC have nothing left to play for.

Team news. CF Montreal are without B. Ceballos (lower-body injury), T. Gillier (upper-body injury), B. Hidalgo (groin injury), B. Vera (yellow cards), B. Ceballos (lower-body injury), T. Gillier (upper-body injury). T. Gillier is their first-choice keeper. B. Vera is their centre-back. Atlanta United FC are without D. Chica (knee injury), T. Jacob (yellow cards), W. Reilly (ankle injury), D. Chica (knee injury), T. Jacob (yellow cards), W. Reilly (ankle injury).

Form. CF Montreal have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition CF Montreal have gone L W L L L L. Atlanta United FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Atlanta United FC have gone L D W D L D.

The numbers. CF Montreal score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CF Montreal average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Atlanta United FC score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atlanta United FC average 13.5 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings CF Montreal have won three, drawn one and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CF Montreal won one, one was drawn and Atlanta United FC won two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished CF Montreal 1-3 Atlanta United FC: CF Montreal had 11 shots to 18, 47% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Atlanta United FC's record still gives them 45% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. CF Montreal or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Atlanta United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atlanta United FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF Montreal or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); CF Montreal or Both Teams Score (no side to back); CF Montreal 1UP (no side to back). Predicted score: CF Montreal 2-1 Atlanta United FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CF Montreal or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.30

CFM 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

CF Montreal scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

CF Montreal or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

CFM 3 of 5 (60%) · ATL 5 of 10 (50%)53.5%

CF Montreal: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 2 of 6 · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

CFM 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)72.3%

CF Montreal: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

CFM 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 7 of 10 (70%)52%

CF Montreal: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level

CF MONTREAL GOALS

CF Montreal Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

CFM 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)72.5%

CF Montreal scored in 4 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level

ATLANTA UNITED FC GOALS

Atlanta United FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.28

CFM 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 5 of 5 (100%)60.6%

Atlanta United FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Montreal conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

CFM 5 of 5 (100%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)91.3%

CF Montreal: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atlanta United FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CF Montreal: only games against sides at Atlanta United FC's level · Atlanta United FC: only games against sides at CF Montreal's level

Left off the list: CF Montreal or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); CF Montreal or Both Teams Score (no side to back); CF Montreal 1UP (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); CF Montreal or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.6%

CF Montreal goals →

Atlanta United FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CF MONTREALDWDLLLLLWL0.80 PPG

ATLANTA UNITED FCWWWLDLDWDL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF MONTREAL HOMExATLANTA UNITED FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.402.10CONCEDED A GAME1.500%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE32%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.752.25CARDS A GAME1.751.26xG1.451.88xG AGAINST1.25

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.69POINTS A GAME1.39-0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11-2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES18

Atlanta United FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

89%

OKAY · 85/90

CF MONTREAL OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

ATLANTA UNITED FC OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 18 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CF MONTREALxATLANTA UNITED FC

7GAMES81.00SCORED A GAME1.251.29CONCEDED A GAME1.622.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.971%OVER 1.5 GOALS62%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS62%57%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

CF MONTREAL 3 · 38%DRAW 1ATLANTA UNITED FC 4 · 50%

6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-04-30CF Montreal 2 – 1 Atlanta United FC

2023-07-08CF Montreal 0 – 1 Atlanta United FC

2023-09-23CF Montreal 1 – 4 Atlanta United FC

2024-07-13CF Montreal 1 – 0 Atlanta United FC

2024-10-02CF Montreal 2 – 1 Atlanta United FC

2025-02-23CF Montreal 2 – 3 Atlanta United FC

2025-08-09CF Montreal 1 – 1 Atlanta United FC

2026-05-02CF Montreal 1 – 3 Atlanta United FC

TEAM NEWS

CF MONTREAL

Out: B. Ceballos (Lower-Body Injury), T. Gillier (Upper-Body Injury), B. Hidalgo (Groin Injury), B. Vera (Yellow Cards), B. Ceballos (Lower-Body Injury), T. Gillier (Upper-Body Injury)

ATLANTA UNITED FC

Out: D. Chica (Knee Injury), T. Jacob (Yellow Cards), W. Reilly (Ankle Injury), D. Chica (Knee Injury), T. Jacob (Yellow Cards), W. Reilly (Ankle Injury)

TRENDS

CF Montreal have scored in 70% of their games.

Atlanta United FC have scored in 80% of their games.

CF Montreal kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Atlanta United FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards