Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Cruzeiro EC MG
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo. The referee is Savio Pereira Sampaio.
What's at stake. Red Bull Bragantino SP are 11th on 37 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Coritiba, 1 point clear of Vitoria. A win would take them above Coritiba. Cruzeiro EC MG are 6th on 48 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Bahia, 1 point clear of Atletico-MG. A win would take them above Bahia.
Team news. Red Bull Bragantino SP are without Alix Vinicius (injury), Davi Gomes (knee injury), A. Hurtado (rest), Rodriguinho (inactive), Alix Vinicius (injury), Davi Gomes (knee injury). Cruzeiro EC MG are without Fabricio Bruno (inactive), Gabriel Pec (broken leg), L. Sinisterra (muscle injury), Kenji (ankle injury), N. Villarreal (ankle injury), Fabricio Bruno (inactive).
Form. Red Bull Bragantino SP have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition Red Bull Bragantino SP have gone D L L D L L. Cruzeiro EC MG have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Cruzeiro EC MG have gone W W L W L W.
The numbers. Red Bull Bragantino SP score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Red Bull Bragantino SP average 20.1 shots (6.4 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Cruzeiro EC MG score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cruzeiro EC MG average 15.8 shots (5.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Red Bull Bragantino SP have won one, drawn two and lost four. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Red Bull Bragantino SP won one, one was drawn and Cruzeiro EC MG won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Red Bull Bragantino SP 1-2 Cruzeiro EC MG: Red Bull Bragantino SP had 15 shots to 16, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Cruzeiro EC MG are the better side, but not at this price. Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cruzeiro EC MG; the meetings favour Cruzeiro EC MG.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Red Bull Bragantino SP 1-1 Cruzeiro EC MG (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).