CR Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense FC RJ
Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. The referee is Rafael Rodrigo Klein.
What's at stake. CR Flamengo RJ are 1st on 61 points after 29 games, 1 point clear of Palmeiras. Fluminense FC RJ are 3rd on 51 points after 29 games, 9 points behind Palmeiras, 1 point clear of Atletico Paranaense.
Team news. CR Flamengo RJ are without Ayrton Lucas (thigh injury), Evertton Araujo (thigh injury), Jorginho (red card), Leo Ortiz (inactive), G. Varela (inactive), G. de Arrascaeta (wrist injury). Fluminense FC RJ are without Alisson (hip injury), G. Cano (hamstring injury), John Kennedy (knee injury), Matheus Reis (knee injury), Rene (inactive), Alisson (hip injury). John Kennedy is their top scorer.
Form. CR Flamengo RJ have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition CR Flamengo RJ have gone D W W W W W. Fluminense FC RJ have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Fluminense FC RJ have gone W W L W D W.
The numbers. CR Flamengo RJ score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CR Flamengo RJ average 17.1 shots (6.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Fluminense FC RJ average 14.0 shots (6.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CR Flamengo RJ have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CR Flamengo RJ won two and Fluminense FC RJ won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished CR Flamengo RJ 2-1 Fluminense FC RJ: CR Flamengo RJ had 17 shots to 19, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: CR Flamengo RJ are the better side, but not at this price. CR Flamengo RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CR Flamengo RJ.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CR Flamengo RJ 1-1 Fluminense FC RJ (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).