AMATL

20:00Sun 11 Oct

SAN

Atletico Mineiro MG vs Santos FC SP

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Mineiro MG have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Santos FC SP have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.

The numbers. Atletico Mineiro MG score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Atletico Mineiro MG average 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Santos FC SP score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Santos FC SP average 5.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The read. No firm call: Santos FC SP are the better side, but not at this price. Santos FC SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santos FC SP.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Atletico Mineiro MG 1-1 Santos FC SP (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)86.8%

Atletico Mineiro MG: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Santos FC SP: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

ATL 4 of 6 (67%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)75.2%

Atletico Mineiro MG: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Santos FC SP: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Mineiro MG: only games against sides at Santos FC SP's level · Santos FC SP: only games against sides at Atletico Mineiro MG's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Atletico Mineiro MG goals →

Santos FC SP goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO MINEIRO MGWDWWLLWWDD1.80 PPG

SANTOS FC SPDWWLWWWDWL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MINEIRO MG HOMExSANTOS FC SP AWAY

1.32SCORED A GAME1.551.14CONCEDED A GAME1.4860%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.381.75CARDS A GAME3.10

TRENDS

Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 70% of their games.

Santos FC SP have scored in 80% of their games.

Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Santos FC SP kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards