ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

MTMAL

19:45Tue 6 Oct

WEL

Maldon & Tiptree FC vs Welling United

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Maldon & Tiptree FC are 17th on 9 points after 10 games, level on points with Brentwood Town, 1 point clear of Cheshunt. A win would take them above Brentwood Town. Welling United are 1st on 21 points after 9 games, level on points with Dartford.

Form. Maldon & Tiptree FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Maldon & Tiptree FC have gone L L L L L W. Welling United have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their last nine, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Welling United have gone W W W L W W.

The numbers. Maldon & Tiptree FC score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Welling United score 2.1 and concede one a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets.

The case against. Maldon & Tiptree FC's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. Welling United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Welling United the likelier winners; Welling United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Welling United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Welling United Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Maldon & Tiptree FC 1-2 Welling United (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Welling United or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 9 of 9 (100%) · WEL 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Welling United: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Double Chance: Draw or Welling UnitedIN CODES

1.16

MAL 7 of 9 (78%) · WEL 3 of 5 (60%)71.2%

Welling United unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 74% · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level

Welling United (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

MAL 7 of 9 (78%) · WEL 3 of 5 (60%)61.1%

Welling United won 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Maldon & Tiptree FC lost 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 74% · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · WEL 9 of 9 (100%)93.4%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Welling United: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · WEL 7 of 9 (78%)77.7%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Welling United: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · WEL 5 of 9 (56%)53.3%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Welling United: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

WELLING UNITED GOALS

Welling United Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 9 of 9 (100%) · WEL 4 of 5 (80%)79.5%

Welling United scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Maldon & Tiptree FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · WEL 8 of 9 (89%)86.1%

Maldon & Tiptree FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Welling United: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Maldon & Tiptree FC: only games against sides at Welling United's level · Welling United: only games against sides at Maldon & Tiptree FC's level

Left off the list: Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (92%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Welling United Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (36%) and the records (59%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

Maldon & Tiptree FC goals →

Welling United goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MALDON & TIPTREE FCLWLWWLLLLL0.90 PPG

WELLING UNITEDWLWWWLWWW2.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALDON & TIPTREE FC HOMExWELLING UNITED AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME2.113.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS67%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.90POINTS A GAME2.33-1.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES9

Welling United: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

WELLING UNITED 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 85/90

MALDON & TIPTREE FC OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

WELLING UNITED OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MALDON & TIPTREE FCxWELLING UNITED

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.803.80CONCEDED A GAME1.004.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Maldon & Tiptree FC failed to score in 20% of their games.

Welling United failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table