Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Quorn FC are 18th on 9 points after 10 games, level on points with Leek Town, level on points with Bamber Bridge. A win would take them above Leek Town. Ashton United FC are 15th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Whitby Town, 1 point clear of AFC Emley. A win would take them above Whitby Town.
Form. Quorn FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition Quorn FC have gone W L W L D D. Ashton United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Quorn FC score 1.6 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Quorn FC average 4.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Ashton United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ashton United FC average 8.7 shots (2.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Quorn FC the likelier winners, but Ashton United FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 78% on the records (Quorn FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Ashton United FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Leave: Ashton United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Ashton United FC Over 0.5 Goals (Ashton United FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Quorn FC 2-1 Ashton United FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).