RW Oberhausen vs SC Paderborn 07 II
Match details. Regionalliga West, West - 11. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Niederrheinstadion, Oberhausen.
Form. RW Oberhausen have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. SC Paderborn 07 II have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D.
The numbers. RW Oberhausen score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. RW Oberhausen average 0.1 cards a game. SC Paderborn 07 II score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. SC Paderborn 07 II average 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 77% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: RW Oberhausen are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. RW Oberhausen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RW Oberhausen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.30, 72% on the records (RW Oberhausen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; SC Paderborn 07 II: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); RW Oberhausen Over 1.5 Goals (SC Paderborn 07 II's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: RW Oberhausen 2-1 SC Paderborn 07 II (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).