ACATH

19:45Tue 6 Oct

TRA

Atherton Collieries vs Trafford FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying Replays. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Alder Street, Atherton.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Atherton Collieries have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Trafford FC have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.

The numbers. Atherton Collieries score 1.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Atherton Collieries average 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Trafford FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets. Trafford FC average 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Atherton Collieries have won three, drawn one and lost two. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Atherton Collieries won two, one was drawn and Trafford FC won one. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished Atherton Collieries 2-2 Trafford FC.

The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying Replays) with penalties if level, and Trafford FC are not clearly stronger. Atherton Collieries's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. Trafford FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Trafford FC the likelier winners; Trafford FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Trafford FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atherton Collieries 1-2 Trafford FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Trafford FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATH 8 of 9 (89%) · TRA 9 of 10 (90%)83.8%

Trafford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atherton Collieries: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · the call is Trafford FC or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying Replays) with penalties if level, and Trafford FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Trafford FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.38

ATH 7 of 9 (78%) · TRA 8 of 10 (80%)75.8%

Trafford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atherton Collieries: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · the call is Trafford FC or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying Replays) with penalties if level, and Trafford FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Trafford FC win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.33

ATH 8 of 9 (89%) · TRA 8 of 10 (80%)75.8%

Trafford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atherton Collieries: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 6 · the call is Trafford FC or the draw: a knockout game (3rd Round Qualifying Replays) with penalties if level, and Trafford FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Trafford FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

2.55

ATH 4 of 7 (57%) · TRA 6 of 9 (67%)49.4%

Trafford FC won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Atherton Collieries lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 5 · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

ATH 8 of 10 (80%) · TRA 8 of 9 (89%)80%

Atherton Collieries: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Trafford FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 6

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

ATH 6 of 10 (60%) · TRA 7 of 9 (78%)68.3%

Atherton Collieries: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Trafford FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.59

ATH 4 of 10 (40%) · TRA 8 of 9 (89%)60.8%

Atherton Collieries: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Trafford FC: both scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6

ATHERTON COLLIERIES GOALS

Atherton Collieries Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

ATH 6 of 10 (60%) · TRA 9 of 9 (100%)85%

Atherton Collieries scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Trafford FC conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6

Atherton Collieries Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.97

ATH 6 of 10 (60%) · TRA 6 of 9 (67%)64.2%

Atherton Collieries scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Trafford FC conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · H2H 4 of 6

TRAFFORD FC GOALS

Trafford FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.29

ATH 8 of 9 (89%) · TRA 8 of 10 (80%)75.8%

Trafford FC scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Atherton Collieries conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 6

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

Atherton Collieries goals →

Trafford FC goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-16%

1-19%

2-16%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-35%

1-37%

2-35%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-51%

1-51%

2-51%

3-50.5%

4-50.2%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATHERTON COLLIERIESLWLLLLLWWD1.00 PPG

TRAFFORD FCLDWLWLWWD1.56 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATHERTON COLLIERIES HOMExTRAFFORD FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.782.20CONCEDED A GAME1.7820%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.003.00CARDS A GAME1.00

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

ATHERTON COLLIERIES 3 · 50%DRAW 1TRAFFORD FC 2 · 33%

3 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-09-21Atherton Collieries 1 – 3 Trafford FC

2024-11-19Atherton Collieries 1 – 0 Trafford FC

2025-03-08Atherton Collieries 4 – 0 Trafford FC

2025-09-27Atherton Collieries 1 – 0 Trafford FC

2026-01-24Atherton Collieries 1 – 4 Trafford FC

2026-10-03Atherton Collieries 2 – 2 Trafford FC

TRENDS

Atherton Collieries have scored in 60% of their games.

Trafford FC have scored in 89% of their games.

Atherton Collieries kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Trafford FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards