WFWIN

19:45Tue 6 Oct

BED

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town Football Club

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying Replays. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Maurice Rebak Stadium, Finchley.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Wingate & Finchley have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Bedford Town Football Club have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Bedford Town Football Club have gone D W.

The numbers. Wingate & Finchley score 1.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Wingate & Finchley average 8.0 shots (4.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Bedford Town Football Club score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished Wingate & Finchley 2-2 Bedford Town Football Club.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Wingate & Finchley or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bedford Town Football Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Bedford Town Football Club (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

WIN 9 of 10 (90%) · BED 8 of 10 (80%)80.6%

Wingate & Finchley: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bedford Town Football Club: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.80

WIN 7 of 10 (70%) · BED 7 of 10 (70%)61.2%

Wingate & Finchley: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bedford Town Football Club: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

WINGATE & FINCHLEY GOALS

Wingate & Finchley Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.34

WIN 9 of 10 (90%) · BED 8 of 10 (80%)80.6%

Wingate & Finchley scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Bedford Town Football Club conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB GOALS

Bedford Town Football Club Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

WIN 10 of 10 (100%) · BED 7 of 10 (70%)80.6%

Bedford Town Football Club scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Wingate & Finchley conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Wingate & Finchley or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bedford Town Football Club or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Wingate & Finchley or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bedford Town Football Club or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.5%

Wingate & Finchley goals →

Bedford Town Football… goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.7%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

WINGATE & FINCHLEYWLDWLWDWWD1.80 PPG

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUBWLWWWWLWDD2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WINGATE & FINCHLEY HOMExBEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE10%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME1.50-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.28LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 85/90

WINGATE & FINCHLEY OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

WINGATE & FINCHLEYxBEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.002.60CONCEDED A GAME0.404.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

WINGATE & FINCHLEY 0 · 0%DRAW 1BEDFORD TOWN FOOTBALL CLUB 0 · 0%

2026-10-03Wingate & Finchley 2 – 2 Bedford Town Football Club

TRENDS

Wingate & Finchley have scored in 90% of their games.

Bedford Town Football Club have scored in 100% of their games.

Wingate & Finchley kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Bedford Town Football Club kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards