Match details. FA Cup, 3rd Round Qualifying Replays. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Spalding United have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Spalding United have gone D W. Bury Town FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Spalding United score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Bury Town FC score 2.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Spalding United have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished Spalding United 1-1 Bury Town FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Spalding United the likelier winners, but Bury Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spalding United.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Spalding United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bury Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Spalding United or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Spalding United 2-1 Bury Town FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 5 of 6 (83%)73.3%
Spalding United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
SPA 2 of 5 (40%) · BUR 5 of 6 (83%)52.9%
Spalding United: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 3
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
SPA 2 of 5 (40%) · BUR 5 of 6 (83%)59.6%
Spalding United: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC: both scored in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 3
SPALDING UNITED GOALS
Spalding United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
SPA 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 6 of 6 (100%)83.8%
Spalding United scored in 4 of 5 at home · Bury Town FC conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3
Left off the list: Spalding United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bury Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Spalding United or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bury Town FC Over 0.5 goals (Spalding United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Bury Town FC win or both teams score (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bury Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Spalding United goals →
Bury Town FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.9%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.3%
0-40.5%
1-40.9%
2-40.9%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPALDING UNITEDDLWDWWWWLD1.80 PPG
BURY TOWN FCWWWWLWWLWD2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPALDING UNITED HOMExBURY TOWN FC AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME2.300.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7030%CLEAN SHEETS20%30%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BURY TOWN FC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME2.44+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES9
Bury Town FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SPALDING UNITED OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
BURY TOWN FC OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPALDING UNITEDxBURY TOWN FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.600.60CONCEDED A GAME1.001.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
SPALDING UNITED 2 · 67%DRAW 1BURY TOWN FC 0 · 0%
3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-09-23Spalding United 2 – 1 Bury Town FC
2025-11-25Spalding United 2 – 1 Bury Town FC
2026-10-03Spalding United 1 – 1 Bury Town FC
TRENDS
Spalding United have scored in 80% of their games.
Bury Town FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Spalding United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Bury Town FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head