Farnham Town vs Truro City
Match details. National League South, National League South - 8. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Farnham Town have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Truro City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. Farnham Town score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Farnham Town average 10.5 shots (4.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Truro City score two and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Truro City average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Farnham Town the likelier winners, but Truro City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Farnham Town. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.46, 73% on the records (Farnham Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Truro City: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Farnham Town 1-1 Truro City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).