Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Niroye Zamini Tehran are 12th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Novin Ahvaz, level on points with Naft Gachsaran. A win would take them above Novin Ahvaz. Sanat Mes Kerman FC are 14th on 2 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Naft Gachsaran, level on points with Mes Soongoun. A win would take them above Naft Gachsaran.
Form. Niroye Zamini Tehran have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Sanat Mes Kerman FC have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.
The numbers. Niroye Zamini Tehran score none and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Sanat Mes Kerman FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sanat Mes Kerman FC average 11.8 shots (6.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Niroye Zamini Tehran have won one, drawn three and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Niroye Zamini Tehran won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Jan 2026, it finished Niroye Zamini Tehran 0-0 Sanat Mes Kerman FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Niroye Zamini Tehran or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Sanat Mes Kerman FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Niroye Zamini Tehran 0-1 Sanat Mes Kerman FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).