CD Tapatio vs Club Atletico La Paz
CD Tapatio scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Club Atletico La Paz conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Club Atletico La Paz's level · Club Atletico La Paz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Akron, Zapopan.
What's at stake. CD Tapatio are 10th on 14 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Correcaminos Uat, 1 point clear of Dorados. A win would take them above Correcaminos Uat. Club Atletico La Paz are 3rd on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Monarcas, 1 point clear of Venados FC. A win would take them above Monarcas.
Form. CD Tapatio have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. Club Atletico La Paz have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. CD Tapatio score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Tapatio average 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Club Atletico La Paz score 2.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Club Atletico La Paz average 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings CD Tapatio have won three, drawn two and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Tapatio won two, one was drawn and Club Atletico La Paz won one. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2026, it finished CD Tapatio 2-2 Club Atletico La Paz.
The case against. CD Tapatio's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Club Atletico La Paz to win. An open game. Club Atletico La Paz are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Club Atletico La Paz: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Club Atletico La Paz are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Club Atletico La Paz are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Tapatio 1-2 Club Atletico La Paz (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).