FK Napredak Krusevac vs FK Loznica

Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FK Napredak Krusevac are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, 1 point clear of Naftagas. A win would take them above FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. FK Loznica are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with FK Vozdovac, level on points with FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. A win would take them above FK Vozdovac.

Form. FK Napredak Krusevac have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition FK Napredak Krusevac have gone D L L L W L. FK Loznica have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. In this competition FK Loznica have gone W W D L D W.

The numbers. FK Napredak Krusevac score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FK Napredak Krusevac average 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game. FK Loznica score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK Loznica average 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The case against. FK Napredak Krusevac's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The read. FK Loznica or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. FK Loznica are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Loznica. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Loznica or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Napredak Krusevac 1-1 FK Loznica (13% chance).