Switzerland vs North Macedonia

Match details. The Nations League clash is on Tue 6 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time at the Swissporarena in Lucerne. Edgars Malcevs will be the referee.

What's at stake. Switzerland sit top with 9 points after three games, five clear of Slovenia. North Macedonia are bottom with no points, four behind Scotland.

Form. Switzerland have not lost in their last ten, picking up six wins, four draws and 2.2 points a game; their last five are W W W D D. North Macedonia have only two wins, three draws and five defeats in ten, 0.9 points a game, and have lost their last five.

The numbers. At home Switzerland average two goals for and 0.6 against in the last five, with two clean sheets. They also manage 13.5 shots, 6.2 on target, 4.4 corners, 1.0 cards and 68% possession. Away, North Macedonia score 0.4 and concede 2.6, also with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Their averages are 7.5 shots, 2.7 on target, 2.6 corners, 2.9 cards and 48% possession.

Head to head. The last meeting on 26 Sep 2026 ended 3-0 to Switzerland. They had 23 shots to two, 59% possession and received four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The odds board leans 92% against the records' 63%. Their goals for and against point to an open game and the records suggest an over 2.5 goal chance at 48%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: the records put the over 2.5 goal chance at 48%.

The read. No firm call: Switzerland are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Switzerland the likelier winners; Switzerland are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Switzerland; the goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 91% on the records (Switzerland: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; North Macedonia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Over 2.5 Cards at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Switzerland are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Switzerland are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Switzerland 3-0 North Macedonia (15% chance).