Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia

Match details. CONCACAF Nations League, League B - 2. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at BFA Technical Centre, Bridgetown.

Form. Guadeloupe have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Saint Lucia have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.

The numbers. Guadeloupe score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Guadeloupe average 12.3 shots (5.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Saint Lucia score 0.8 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Saint Lucia average 8.2 shots (2.6 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Guadeloupe have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Oct 2026, it finished Guadeloupe 0-3 Saint Lucia: Guadeloupe had 12 shots to 9, 49% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The case against. Guadeloupe's record still gives them 58% to win.

The read. Saint Lucia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Guadeloupe the likelier winners; Guadeloupe are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guadeloupe. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 83% on the records (Guadeloupe: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Saint Lucia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Guadeloupe Over 0.5 Goals at 1.33. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Saint Lucia are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Saint Lucia are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Guadeloupe 1-2 Saint Lucia (3% chance).