Match details. 3. Division, Group 5, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Harstad have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Skedsmo have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Harstad score 4.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Harstad average 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Skedsmo score 2.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Skedsmo average 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Skedsmo's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Harstad to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Harstad the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Harstad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Skedsmo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Harstad); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Harstad 2-1 Skedsmo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).