CSM Slatina vs CS Universitatea Craiova
Match details. An international friendly. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. CSM Slatina have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. CS Universitatea Craiova have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. CSM Slatina score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CSM Slatina average 14.9 shots (5.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CS Universitatea Craiova score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CS Universitatea Craiova average 13.5 shots (6.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: CSM Slatina are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CSM Slatina the likelier winners; CSM Slatina are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSM Slatina. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, 78% on the records (CSM Slatina: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CS Universitatea Craiova: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.57. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CSM Slatina 1-1 CS Universitatea Craiova (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).