Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires. The referee is Dario Herrera.
What's at stake. Velez Sarsfield are 4th on 21 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Defensa Y Justicia, 1 point clear of Lanus. A win would take them level on points with Defensa Y Justicia. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, level on points with Lanus, 2 points clear of Independiente. A win would take them above Lanus.
Team news. Á. Montero is their first-choice keeper. D. Valdés is their main creator. Velez Sarsfield's line-up is confirmed. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Velez Sarsfield have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. In this competition Velez Sarsfield have gone L D W D W D. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D. In this competition Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have gone W L D L D W.
The numbers. Velez Sarsfield score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Velez Sarsfield average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza average 13.9 shots (3.9 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Velez Sarsfield 2-3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: Velez Sarsfield had 11 shots to 16, 56% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36, 74% on the records (Velez Sarsfield: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Velez Sarsfield or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).