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ARGENTINA - PRIMERA LPF
Racing Club Avellaneda crestRCRAC
18:45Sun 18 Oct
CAICA Independiente Avellaneda crestCI

Racing Club Avellaneda vs CA Independiente Avellaneda

CLASS B
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class B
Racing Club Avellaneda crestRCvCA Independiente Avellaneda crestCI
Under 3.5 Goals
Racing Club Avellaneda v CA Independiente Avellaneda
Argentina - Primera LPF · 18:45
1.20odds
83%book
-7edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Buenos Aires. The referee is Facundo Tello.

What's at stake. Racing Club Avellaneda are 13th on 11 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Banfield, 3 points clear of Aldosivi. A win would take them above Banfield. CA Independiente Avellaneda are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Gimnasia M., 1 point clear of Newells Old Boys. A win would take them above Gimnasia M..

Form. Racing Club Avellaneda have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition Racing Club Avellaneda have gone L W W L L L. CA Independiente Avellaneda have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition CA Independiente Avellaneda have gone D L W D W L.

The numbers. Racing Club Avellaneda score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Racing Club Avellaneda average 14.8 shots (4.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 63% of the ball. CA Independiente Avellaneda score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Independiente Avellaneda average 12.4 shots (3.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Racing Club Avellaneda have won three, drawn four and lost three. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, three were drawn and CA Independiente Avellaneda won one. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Racing Club Avellaneda 0-1 CA Independiente Avellaneda: Racing Club Avellaneda had 10 shots to 8, 50% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: CA Independiente Avellaneda are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CA Independiente Avellaneda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Independiente Avellaneda. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Racing Club Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Racing Club Avellaneda 1-1 CA Independiente Avellaneda (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAC 6 of 6 (100%) · CAI 5 of 5 (100%)96%
Racing Club Avellaneda: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Racing Club Avellaneda: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Racing Club Avellaneda's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAC 6 of 6 (100%) · CAI 5 of 5 (100%)89.4%
Racing Club Avellaneda: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Racing Club Avellaneda: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Racing Club Avellaneda's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
RAC 4 of 6 (67%) · CAI 4 of 5 (80%)76.3%
Racing Club Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · CA Independiente Avellaneda: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Racing Club Avellaneda: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Racing Club Avellaneda's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAC 5 of 5 (100%) · CAI 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%
Racing Club Avellaneda's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · CA Independiente Avellaneda's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Racing Club Avellaneda: only games against sides at CA Independiente Avellaneda's level · CA Independiente Avellaneda: only games against sides at Racing Club Avellaneda's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Racing Club Avellaneda goals →
CA Independiente… goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
RACING CLUB AVELLANEDALLLDLLLWWL0.70 PPG
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDALLWDLWDWLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RACING CLUB AVELLANEDA HOMExCA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS30%27%FAILED TO SCORE21%5.12CORNERS A GAME4.882.00CARDS A GAME2.621.28xG0.901.45xG AGAINST1.03
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
RACING CLUB AVELLANEDA OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
RACING CLUB AVELLANEDA 3 · 30%DRAW 4CA INDEPENDIENTE AVELLANEDA 3 · 30%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-08-08Racing Club Avellaneda 0 – 1 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2022-03-19Racing Club Avellaneda 2 – 1 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2022-07-10Racing Club Avellaneda 1 – 0 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2023-04-16Racing Club Avellaneda 1 – 1 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2023-09-30Racing Club Avellaneda 0 – 2 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2024-02-24Racing Club Avellaneda 1 – 0 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2024-08-25Racing Club Avellaneda 0 – 0 CA Independiente Avellaneda
2025-03-16Racing Club Avellaneda 1 – 1 CA Independiente Avellaneda
TRENDS
Racing Club Avellaneda have scored in 80% of their games.
CA Independiente Avellaneda have scored in 50% of their games.
Racing Club Avellaneda kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CA Independiente Avellaneda kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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