Estudiantes de La Plata vs CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The referee is Sebastian Nicolas Martinez.
What's at stake. Estudiantes de La Plata are 9th on 14 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Newells Old Boys, level on points with San Lorenzo. A win would take them level on points with Newells Old Boys. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are 10th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Estudiantes L.P., 1 point clear of Union Santa Fe. A win would take them above Estudiantes L.P..
Form. Estudiantes de La Plata have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition Estudiantes de La Plata have gone D W L W L D. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition CA San Lorenzo de Almagro have gone W L L D W L.
The numbers. Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Estudiantes de La Plata average 17.9 shots (6.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro average 11.9 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Estudiantes de La Plata have won one, drawn six and lost two. None of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, three were drawn and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won one. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Estudiantes de La Plata 0-1 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Estudiantes de La Plata had 13 shots to 10, 57% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Estudiantes de La Plata the likelier winners, but Estudiantes de La Plata are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA San Lorenzo de Almagro.
The case against. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro's record still gives them 27% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Estudiantes de La Plata to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Estudiantes de La Plata the likelier winners; Estudiantes de La Plata are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA San Lorenzo de Almagro. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Nine of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw at 1.26, 79% on the records (Estudiantes de La Plata unbeaten in 5 of 10; CA San Lorenzo de Almagro failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Estudiantes de La Plata or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Estudiantes de La Plata are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Estudiantes de La Plata are a clear winner, no Unders); Estudiantes de La Plata or draw and under 3.5 goals (Estudiantes de La Plata are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Estudiantes de La Plata 1-0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).