Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 01:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores. The referee is Pablo Echavarria.
What's at stake. Deportivo Riestra AFBC are 12th on 11 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Union Santa Fe, level on points with Platense. A win would take them above Union Santa Fe. Union de Santa Fe are 11th on 13 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Estudiantes L.P., 2 points clear of Deportivo Riestra. A win would take them above Estudiantes L.P..
Form. Deportivo Riestra AFBC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. In this competition Deportivo Riestra AFBC have gone L D D L D D. Union de Santa Fe have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Union de Santa Fe have gone L L L L W W.
The numbers. Deportivo Riestra AFBC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Deportivo Riestra AFBC average 10.9 shots (3.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 33% of the ball. Union de Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Union de Santa Fe average 14.0 shots (4.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Deportivo Riestra AFBC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo Riestra AFBC 0-2 Union de Santa Fe: Deportivo Riestra AFBC had 8 shots to 25, 27% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Union de Santa Fe's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Deportivo Riestra AFBC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Union de Santa Fe are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (Deportivo Riestra AFBC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Union de Santa Fe: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1-1 Union de Santa Fe (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).