Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning. The referee is Daniel Zamora.
What's at stake. CA Sarmiento Junin are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, level on points with River Plate, 1 point clear of Huracan. A win would take them above River Plate. CA Barracas Central are 9th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Independ. Rivadavia, 4 points clear of Atletico Tucuman. A win would take them above Independ. Rivadavia.
Form. CA Sarmiento Junin have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition CA Sarmiento Junin have gone D W L D W L. CA Barracas Central have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition CA Barracas Central have gone W W L D D D.
The numbers. CA Sarmiento Junin score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Sarmiento Junin average 11.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 35% of the ball. CA Barracas Central score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Barracas Central average 10.9 shots (3.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Sarmiento Junin have won three, drawn five and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, CA Sarmiento Junin won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 2 Apr 2026, it finished CA Sarmiento Junin 2-1 CA Barracas Central: CA Sarmiento Junin had 13 shots to 14, 53% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. CA Sarmiento Junin to win. A tight game. CA Sarmiento Junin are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Sarmiento Junin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Sarmiento Junin or Draw at 1.30, 71% on the records (CA Sarmiento Junin unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; CA Barracas Central failed to win 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15 (74%). Backup: CA Sarmiento Junin or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Sarmiento Junin 1-0 CA Barracas Central (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).