Atletico Tucuman vs CA Rosario Central
Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucumán San Miguel. The referee is Álvaro Carranza.
What's at stake. Atletico Tucuman are 10th on 14 points after 12 games, 3 points behind River Plate, 1 point clear of Banfield. A win would take them level on points with River Plate. CA Rosario Central are 1st on 22 points after 12 games, level on points with Belgrano Cordoba.
Team news. I. Galván is their centre-back. Atletico Tucuman's line-up is confirmed. CA Rosario Central's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Atletico Tucuman have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Atletico Tucuman have gone D L L L W D. CA Rosario Central have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition CA Rosario Central have gone W D W W D L.
The numbers. Atletico Tucuman score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Tucuman average 10.8 shots (3.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. CA Rosario Central score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. CA Rosario Central average 14.5 shots (5.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Atletico Tucuman have won none, drawn five and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and CA Rosario Central won three. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Atletico Tucuman 1-2 CA Rosario Central: Atletico Tucuman had 17 shots to 18, 33% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. CA Rosario Central to win. A draw is live. A tight game. CA Rosario Central are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Rosario Central; the meetings favour CA Rosario Central. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 75% on the records (Atletico Tucuman: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Rosario Central: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: CA Rosario Central or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atletico Tucuman 0-1 CA Rosario Central (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).