LSLEX

00:30Sat 10 Oct

FCT

Lexington SC vs FC Tulsa

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium.

What's at stake. Lexington SC are 4th on 43 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Sacramento Republic, 1 point clear of FC Tulsa. A win would take them above Sacramento Republic. FC Tulsa are 5th on 42 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Lexington, 2 points clear of Colorado Springs. A win would take them above Lexington.

Form. Lexington SC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. FC Tulsa have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L.

The numbers. Lexington SC score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Lexington SC average 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FC Tulsa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Tulsa average 3.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Lexington SC have won none, drawn one and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 26 Jul 2026, it finished Lexington SC 0-0 FC Tulsa.

The case against. FC Tulsa's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Lexington SC to win. A tight game. Lexington SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lexington SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Tulsa Over 0.5 goals (Lexington SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lexington SC 1-0 FC Tulsa (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEX 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 5 of 6 (83%)96%

Lexington SC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tulsa: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at FC Tulsa's level · FC Tulsa: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

LEX 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 5 of 6 (83%)90.2%

Lexington SC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tulsa: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at FC Tulsa's level · FC Tulsa: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level

Left off the list: FC Tulsa Over 0.5 goals (Lexington SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.5%

Lexington SC goals →

FC Tulsa goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEXINGTON SCWWWWLLLWLW1.80 PPG

FC TULSADWDDLDWWLL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEXINGTON SC HOMExFC TULSA AWAY

1.81SCORED A GAME1.191.22CONCEDED A GAME0.9330%CLEAN SHEETS30%22%FAILED TO SCORE30%5.33CORNERS A GAME3.481.85CARDS A GAME2.96

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.87POINTS A GAME1.64+0.93GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.43+5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.215LEAGUE GAMES14

Lexington SC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

LEXINGTON SC OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

FC TULSA OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEXINGTON SCxFC TULSA

8GAMES72.25SCORED A GAME1.431.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.475%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%38%BOTH SCORE57%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

LEXINGTON SC 0 · 0%DRAW 1FC TULSA 2 · 67%

0 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-05-18Lexington SC 0 – 2 FC Tulsa

2025-10-05Lexington SC 0 – 3 FC Tulsa

2026-07-26Lexington SC 0 – 0 FC Tulsa

TRENDS

Lexington SC have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Tulsa have scored in 70% of their games.

Lexington SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Tulsa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards