Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado. The referee is Gustavo Tejera.
What's at stake. Deportivo Maldonado are 4th on 17 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Penarol, level on points with Club Nacional. A win would take them above Penarol. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st on 20 points after 9 games, 1 point clear of Atletico Torque.
Form. Deportivo Maldonado have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Deportivo Maldonado have gone W W W L W L. Liverpool Montevideo have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition Liverpool Montevideo have gone W W D L W D.
The numbers. Deportivo Maldonado score 1.5 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Deportivo Maldonado average 4.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Liverpool Montevideo score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Liverpool Montevideo average 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Deportivo Maldonado have won three, drawn one and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Deportivo Maldonado won two and Liverpool Montevideo won two. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Liverpool Montevideo.
The case against. Liverpool Montevideo's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Deportivo Maldonado or the draw. A tight game. Liverpool Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 74% on the records (Deportivo Maldonado: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Liverpool Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Deportivo Maldonado Over 0.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).