Alianza FC Valledupar vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar, a neutral ground. The referee is Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara.
What's at stake. Alianza FC Valledupar are 16th on 11 points after 12 games, level on points with Fortaleza FC, 2 points clear of Junior. A win would take them above Fortaleza FC. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Llaneros, 1 point clear of Once Caldas. A win would take them above Llaneros.
Form. Alianza FC Valledupar have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Alianza FC Valledupar have gone L W L W W L. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition Aguilas Doradas Rionegro have gone W L L D L D.
The numbers. Alianza FC Valledupar score one and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alianza FC Valledupar average 10.6 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Aguilas Doradas Rionegro average 13.0 shots (3.8 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alianza FC Valledupar have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alianza FC Valledupar won one, one was drawn and Aguilas Doradas Rionegro won two. The last time they met, on 27 Mar 2026, it finished Alianza FC Valledupar 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro: Alianza FC Valledupar had 9 shots to 12, 44% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Aguilas Doradas Rionegro or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Aguilas Doradas Rionegro or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Aguilas Doradas Rionegro win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Alianza FC Valledupar 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).