Heracles Almelo vs RKC Waalwijk
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Polman Stadion, Armello.
What's at stake. Heracles Almelo are 16th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Vitesse, level on points with Jong PSV U21. A win would take them above Vitesse. RKC Waalwijk are 12th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC Volendam, level on points with NAC Breda. A win would take them above FC Volendam.
Form. Heracles Almelo have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. RKC Waalwijk have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.
The numbers. Heracles Almelo score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Heracles Almelo average 14.9 shots (6.4 on target), 7.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. RKC Waalwijk score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. RKC Waalwijk average 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Heracles Almelo have won two, drawn two and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Heracles Almelo won one, two were drawn and RKC Waalwijk won one. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2025, it finished Heracles Almelo 0-0 RKC Waalwijk: Heracles Almelo had 10 shots to 10, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Heracles Almelo are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Heracles Almelo the likelier winners; Heracles Almelo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Heracles Almelo: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; RKC Waalwijk: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: RKC Waalwijk or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Heracles Almelo); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Heracles Almelo 2-1 RKC Waalwijk (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).