Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kras Stadion, Volendam.
What's at stake. FC Volendam are 11th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC OSS, level on points with Waalwijk. A win would take them above FC OSS. Vitesse Arnhem are 15th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Roda, level on points with Heracles. A win would take them above Roda.
Form. FC Volendam have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. Vitesse Arnhem have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. FC Volendam score three and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Volendam average 12.3 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Vitesse Arnhem score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vitesse Arnhem average 13.3 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings FC Volendam have won three, drawn two and lost one. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FC Volendam won two, one was drawn and Vitesse Arnhem won one. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2025, it finished FC Volendam 4-0 Vitesse Arnhem: FC Volendam had 14 shots to 16, 42% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. Vitesse Arnhem are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Volendam: in the last six meetings, FC Volendam won three, Vitesse Arnhem won one and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 77% on the records (FC Volendam: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Vitesse Arnhem: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: FC Volendam Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Volendam or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Vitesse Arnhem or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Volendam 2-1 Vitesse Arnhem (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).