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NETHERLANDS - EERSTE DIVISIE
De Graafschap crestDGDEG
19:00Fri 9 Oct
JONJong FC Utrecht crestJF

De Graafschap vs Jong FC Utrecht

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem.

What's at stake. De Graafschap are 1st on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with VVV Venlo. Jong FC Utrecht are 20th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Jong AZ. A win would take them above Jong AZ.

Form. De Graafschap have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. Jong FC Utrecht have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L.

The numbers. De Graafschap score 1.4 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. De Graafschap average 12.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Jong FC Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Jong FC Utrecht average 12.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings De Graafschap have won four, drawn five and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, De Graafschap won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 20 Feb 2026, it finished De Graafschap 1-0 Jong FC Utrecht: De Graafschap had 18 shots to 11, 61% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Jong FC Utrecht are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour De Graafschap. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. De Graafschap's record still gives them 39% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Jong FC Utrecht or the draw. Jong FC Utrecht are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour De Graafschap.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); Jong FC Utrecht or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: De Graafschap 1-1 Jong FC Utrecht (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Jong FC Utrecht or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEG 5 of 5 (100%) · JON 8 of 9 (89%)90.4%
Jong FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · De Graafschap: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
DEG 8 of 9 (89%) · JON 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
De Graafschap: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Jong FC Utrecht: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 6 of 6 · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSETTLEDIN CODES
1.10
DEG 8 of 9 (89%) · JON 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
De Graafschap: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Jong FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level · rule 1: it landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.40
DEG 6 of 9 (67%) · JON 4 of 5 (80%)74.6%
De Graafschap: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Jong FC Utrecht: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · H2H 5 of 6 · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level
JONG FC UTRECHT GOALS
Jong FC Utrecht Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.28
DEG 5 of 5 (100%) · JON 8 of 9 (89%)90.4%
Jong FC Utrecht scored in 5 of 5 away · De Graafschap conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEG 8 of 9 (89%) · JON 3 of 5 (60%)72.8%
De Graafschap's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Jong FC Utrecht's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · De Graafschap: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at De Graafschap's level
Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (39%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (46%) and the records (76%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Jong FC Utrecht or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (82%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (95%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.8%
De Graafschap goals →
Jong FC Utrecht goals ↓
0-011%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
DE GRAAFSCHAPDDLLLLWLWD0.90 PPG
JONG FC UTRECHTWLLLLLDWWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DE GRAAFSCHAP HOMExJONG FC UTRECHT AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.702.40CONCEDED A GAME2.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%11%FAILED TO SCORE11%4.70CORNERS A GAME4.302.70CARDS A GAME1.601.10xG1.152.37xG AGAINST2.09
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
DE GRAAFSCHAP OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
JONG FC UTRECHT OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DE GRAAFSCHAPxJONG FC UTRECHT
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.811.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
DE GRAAFSCHAP 4 · 40%DRAW 5JONG FC UTRECHT 1 · 10%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-09-24De Graafschap 2 – 2 Jong FC Utrecht
2021-12-20De Graafschap 2 – 0 Jong FC Utrecht
2022-10-14De Graafschap 2 – 0 Jong FC Utrecht
2023-01-30De Graafschap 1 – 1 Jong FC Utrecht
2023-11-24De Graafschap 0 – 2 Jong FC Utrecht
2024-05-03De Graafschap 2 – 2 Jong FC Utrecht
2024-08-23De Graafschap 2 – 2 Jong FC Utrecht
2025-01-20De Graafschap 1 – 1 Jong FC Utrecht
TRENDS
De Graafschap have scored in 90% of their games.
Jong FC Utrecht have scored in 90% of their games.
De Graafschap kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Jong FC Utrecht kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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