Match details. 3. Division, Group 4, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Madla are 1st on 45 points after 21 games, 2 points clear of Mandalskameratene. Brodd are 8th on 27 points after 21 games, 2 points behind Våg, level on points with Stabæk II. A win would take them above Våg. Brodd have nothing left to play for.
Form. Madla have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Madla have gone W D W W W D. Brodd have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Brodd have gone L D L L W W.
The numbers. Madla score 3.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Madla average 5.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Brodd score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Brodd average 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Madla have won two, drawn two and lost four. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Madla won one, two were drawn and Brodd won one. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Madla 4-3 Brodd.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Madla are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Madla the likelier winners; Madla are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Madla. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.24, 80% on the records (Madla: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Brodd: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Brodd or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Madla); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Madla 2-1 Brodd (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).