GS Ilioupoli vs Kyanous Asteras Varis

Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 9 - 2. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Kyanous Asteras Varis are 9th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Asteras Magoula, level on points with Acharnaikos. A win would take them above Asteras Magoula.

Form. GS Ilioupoli have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Kyanous Asteras Varis have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Kyanous Asteras Varis have gone L.

The numbers. GS Ilioupoli score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. GS Ilioupoli average 6.0 shots (2.2 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Kyanous Asteras Varis score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kyanous Asteras Varis average 5.9 shots (2.2 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 53%.

The read. No firm call: Kyanous Asteras Varis are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kyanous Asteras Varis the likelier winners; Kyanous Asteras Varis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kyanous Asteras Varis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.63, 77% on the records (GS Ilioupoli: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Kyanous Asteras Varis: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: GS Ilioupoli 0-1 Kyanous Asteras Varis (14% chance).